NoVo makes ten claims in public. This page scores every one of them against its own logged history and shows the sample size. Nothing here is smoothed and nothing is chosen after the fact.
Before the bell, NoVo says which way it thinks the day goes. It is settled at that day’s close, opening price against closing price. This is how often it was right.
Every pre-market note commits to a direction for the session ahead. Scored open to close. There is no neutral to hide in.
Once an hour NoVo re-reads the chart and calls the hour ahead. This is how often that call was right.
Each audit states a bias for the hour ahead, and is scored on that hour. Neutral calls are not scored.
The Line fires the moment price crosses a level NoVo tracks — the alert goes out within about 36 cents of the level itself. One hour later, is price still on the far side of it? That is the number below. A reclaim has to be higher, a loss has to be lower.
It rarely gets there cleanly. Price usually dips back through the level at least once before the hour is out, so this says the break tends to stick — not that the level behind it is somewhere to rest a stop.
Scored one hour after each fire, per ticker.
Every morning NoVo publishes the range it expects the day to stay inside. This is how often the close actually landed in it.
A ±1σ band contains about 68% of a normal distribution. That is the number to beat.
Dealers who sell options hedge them, and that hedging either calms the market down or shoves moves along — the gamma flip is the price where it switches. So over the hour that follows, price should travel further on the shoving side. This asks whether it does.
Below the flip, dealer hedging runs with the move. If that is true, the same ticker should travel further in an hour when net gamma is negative.
Gravity is the price with the heaviest options positioning packed around it. The question is not whether price gets dragged there — it is whether the next hour goes quiet once price is sitting on it.
Concentrated gamma dampens movement around itself, so the test is volatility rather than attraction: is the next hour quieter when price sits on gravity?
The call wall is the strike with the most call options stacked above price; the put wall is the same below it. Everyone treats them as a ceiling and a floor. This is what actually happened on every session from 2008 to 2025 where price reached one — measured across that whole session, from a map built off the previous close.
Days price never came near the wall are dropped, not counted as holds — counting those is how a level ends up looking infallible.
Skew is how much more expensive downside protection has got than upside. When it steepens, this asks whether the next hour turns out to be a bigger one. It says nothing about direction.
Tested by percentile rather than level: when skew is steep for this ticker, does the next hour travel further?
NoVo scores squeeze pressure from 0 to 100, and a higher score is meant to mean a bigger move over the hour that follows. This checks whether the steps of that scale actually separate.
The signal escalates at 25, 50 and 75. A higher score should precede a bigger move.
The Market Pulse is one sentiment reading a session. This asks whether it says anything about the session after it.
One reading per session, scored against the next session.
No NoVo claim in here at all — just how these three tickers have behaved over two decades, so every number above has something ordinary to be measured against.
Daily closes, 21–27 years. Price only — no dealer map, no gamma, no walls, no open interest. Kept apart from the claims above because it runs over a different window on different data, and averaging the two would flatter both.
Every number here carries its window and its sample size, and if a claim stops holding this page says so. It is NoVo's own log, not an independent audit, and it is not a performance record of any trade — NoVo never takes a position, and nothing here says what price will do next.
If a claim stops holding, this page will say so.
These are the same levels the dealer map recomputes every 60 seconds inside Analyst, with the written read beside them — and NoVo, the AI market analyst, answering off both.
The member portal — delayed dealer levels with the gamma flip and the expected-move band on SPY, QQQ and IWM, plus sectors, movers and the week’s catalysts. NoVo’s Mid-Day Tape Review every trading day and the Week Ahead on Sundays. And the NoVo Discord: live discussion and NoVo’s daily dealer-map read.
Create your free account Join the new NoVo Discord →Market data on this page is delayed and provided for general information only — it is not financial advice or a recommendation to trade. VIX/VXN/RVX are ~15-minute delayed (CBOE); index values use E-mini futures. Options trading involves significant risk of loss. © 2026 NoVo Options Trading.