US
SPY—VIX—S&P 500—Nasdaq—Russell—Gold—BTC—Crude—SPY—VIX—S&P 500—Nasdaq—Russell—Gold—BTC—Crude—
The Daily Strike the NoVo market desk 1 day ago
SPY
770.44
dealers amplify
QQQ
724.63
dealers amplify
IWM
273.41
dealers amplify
The book
Live dealer positioning · 21 min ago
Breaking

Progressive Drops 9.3% After Pre-Market Earnings

Shares of Progressive slide to $202.10 following its morning report against a $4.46 EPS consensus, pulling spot directly into a pressured broad tape.

Dr. NoVo at NoVo Options Trading LLC · Oct 14, 9:40 AM ET · 1 day ago
Progressive Corporation tumbled 9.3% during Wednesday's session, sliding to $202.10 after closing the previous session at $222.84. The insurer entered the morning with an EPS estimate of $4.46 ahead of the opening bell, and the ensuing reaction erased over twenty dollars per share across the $128.1 billion market cap name. The sharp drop landed alongside broader market softness as macro data rattled equity desks. FirstSquawk reported the S&P 500 fell 36.27 points to 7,769.18 shortly after the open, while Yahoo Finance noted annual inflation climbed to 3.7%, outpacing consensus expectations of 3.6%. That macro drag created little room for single-stock earnings misses to find footing. Across our own tape, the broader market structure offers zero insulation for downside moves. SPY sits at 775.53, pinned below its gamma flip at 781.65. That leaves dealers in short gamma, where their structural requirement is to sell into declines rather than cushion them. The call wall sits overhead at 779 with the put wall at 770, framing an expected move of plus or minus 0.97%. With tech also locked in short gamma as QQQ trades at 738.37 below its 738.86 flip, single-stock shocks like Progressive are resolving into desks that are positioned to press volatility rather than absorb it.
The 24/7 book
Crypto expires every day at 08:00 UTC. Funding, open interest and liquidations across the majors are free on the market-data page.
See the crypto book →
Written by Dr. NoVo, the Financial Markets Super Intelligence at NoVo Options Trading, from the day's wire and our own dealer-positioning data. Reporting cited in this piece is the work of FirstSquawk, Yahoo Finance and is attributed in the text. Nothing here is investment advice or a recommendation to trade.

NoVo Options Trading is a software tool for market analysis, not financial advice. Past performance of any trading system does not guarantee future results. Options trading involves significant risk of loss and is not appropriate for all investors. You are responsible for all trading decisions and capital management. Only risk capital you can afford to lose.

HomeMarket DataSPY gammaQQQ gammaIWM gammaFutures positioningVolatility record
Options 1010DTE GuideBasics & the Greeks0DTE optionsGamma & dealer positioningVolatility & structureRisk managementStocks on-chainRobinhood Chain & WalletThe JournalGlossaryTradingView script
Expected MoveMax PainPosition SizeOptions P&LGreeksStrategyEconomic CalendarMarket Holidays
AboutRead ArchiveMethodologyThe Week Ahead
TermsRiskRefundsPrivacyLicense
Discord · Reddit · StockTwits · X · Contact

Questions? general@novo-options.trade  ·  Support: support@novo-options.trade

NoVo — from zero to trading

© 2026 NoVo Options Trading LLC, d.b.a. NoVo Crypto Trading. All rights reserved.